Al Nasr U23vs
Al Ain U23
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · Pro League U23 · 8/30/2026, 1:55:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Ain U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Nasr U23 1-3 Al Ain U23
Original prediction
Al Ain U23
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.21 | 12.4% | 24.4% | 12.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.90 | 18.3% | 22.9% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 1.29 | 69.3% | 52.7% | -16.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Al Ain U23
Probability
52.7%
Model confidence
52.7%
Al Ain U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60