GGOALVIO

Egypt · Second League · 8/28/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Haras El Hodood · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

AL Nasr SC 0-0 Haras El Hodood

Original prediction

Haras El Hodood

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.6025.1%30.1%5.0 pts
Draw2.9230.9%30.5%-0.4 pts
Away2.0644.0%39.4%-4.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.93 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-4.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–015%
  3. 3.0–113%

Predicted outcome

Haras El Hodood

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

39.4%

Haras El Hodood has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AL Nasr SCD

GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
Haras El HodoodWLLWD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
AL Nasr SCHaras El Hodood
33.3Attack66.7
66.7Defence100.0
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power88.7
0.91xG1.11
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