AL Nasr SCvs
El Dakhleya
COMPLETEDEgypt · Second League · 10/22/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AL Nasr SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: AL Nasr SC 1-0 El Dakhleya, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
AL Nasr SC 2-2 El Dakhleya
Original prediction
AL Nasr SC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 23 September 2026 at 10:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 50.0% | 63.1% | 13.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.09 | 29.3% | 24.3% | -4.9 pts |
| Away | 4.37 | 20.7% | 12.5% | -8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.09 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.1 pts
Projected Score
AL Nasr SC 1–0 El Dakhleya
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
AL Nasr SC
Probability
63.1%
Model confidence
63.1%
AL Nasr SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AL Nasr SCWDWWL
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
El DakhleyaLLWWL
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
AL Nasr SCEl Dakhleya
48.1Attack25.9
74.1Defence51.9
59.3Form33.3
62.2Power40.1
1.55xG0.39