GGOALVIO

Egypt · Second League · 9/10/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AL Nasr SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: AL Nasr SC 1-0 Dayrout, with an exact score probability of 18%.

Prediction record

Final result

AL Nasr SC 2-0 Dayrout

Original prediction

AL Nasr SC

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6355.5%46.4%-9.0 pts
Draw3.4526.2%29.4%3.2 pts
Away4.9418.3%24.1%5.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-9.1 pts

Projected Score

AL Nasr SC 1–0 Dayrout

Exact score probability: 18%

Predicted outcome

AL Nasr SC

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

46.4%

AL Nasr SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AL Nasr SCDDD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.67/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 0/3
DayroutLLLLW

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
AL Nasr SCDayrout
22.2Attack0.0
77.8Defence11.1
33.3Form0.0
48.3Power10.9
1.22xG0.61
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