Al Nasarvs
Al Tadhamon
COMPLETEDKuwait · Premier League · 10/18/2026, 4:55:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Nasar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Nasar 2-1 Al Tadhamon
Original prediction
Al Nasar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 50.0% | 48.9% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.2% | 24.6% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.71 | 23.9% | 26.5% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Al Nasar
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Al Nasar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80