Premier LeaguePremier League
Friday, 26 June 2026Last updated 12:37
Al Nasar

Al Nasar

Home
DD
11
Full time
Al Jahra

Al Jahra

Away
DW
Ali Al-Salem Al-Sabah Stadium
GoalVio prediction
64% confidence
Al Nasar(64%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Draw
Win probability
Al Nasar
64%
Draw
22%
Al Jahra
15%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Al Nasar
34
Al Jahra
54
Defence
Al Nasar
66
Al Jahra
66
Momentum
Al Nasar
33
Al Jahra
67
Danger (xG)
Al Nasar
0.90
Al Jahra
1.35
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Al Nasar)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Al Jahra)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Al Nasar)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Al Jahra)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Al NasarAl Nasar
DDW
Al JahraAl Jahra
DWL

Probability breakdown

64% confidence
Al Nasar64%
Draw22%
Al Jahra15%

Al Nasar leads with 64% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Al Nasar head into this in Premier League fixture at Ali Al-Salem Al-Sabah Stadium in mixed form (DD), while Al Jahra arrive in mixed form (DW). Al Nasar have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 50% for Al Jahra over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Al Nasar (66/100) and Al Jahra (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Al Nasar have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Al Jahra have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Al Nasar have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 2 encounters, with 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Al Nasar to win with 64% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Al Nasar 6360%, Draw 2190%, Al Jahra 1450%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Al Nasar 1Draws 10 Al Jahra
Avg goals: 1.5BTTS in 1/2
26 Jun 2026
Al Nasar
D11
Al Jahra
14 May 2026
Al Nasar
W10
Al Jahra

Recent form

Al Nasar

Al Nasar

D
vs Al Jahra
26 Jun 2026
11
D
@ Al Tadhamon
21 Jun 2026
11
W
@ Al Jahra
14 May 2026
10
Al Jahra

Al Jahra

D
@ Al Nasar
26 Jun 2026
11
W
@ Al Shabab
21 Jun 2026
21
L
vs Al Nasar
14 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Al Nasar vs Al Jahra?

GoalVio's model predicts Al Nasar to win with 64% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Al Nasar vs Al Jahra?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Al Nasar vs Al Jahra?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Al Nasar vs Al Jahra?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more