Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Khalidiya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Al Najma are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Khalidiya are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Khalidiya hold a 21.1-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 67.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.4% in the Premier League, while Khalidiya holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Khalidiya
Probability
69.9%
Model confidence
10.4%
Khalidiya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00