Al Najmavs
East Riffa
COMPLETEDBahrain · Premier League · 9/11/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Najma · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Najma 2-3 East Riffa
Original prediction
Al Najma
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 37.6% | 38.7% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.7% | 27.7% | -0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 34.7% | 33.6% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Al Najma
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Al Najma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20