GGOALVIO

Bahrain · Premier League · 10/21/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al Najma · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Al Najma are 2W-1D-0L in their last 3 (WWD), averaging 3.33 scored and 1.33 conceded, while East Riffa are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 2.33 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and East Riffa hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 50.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Premier League, while Al Najma holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al Najma

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

36.6%

Al Najma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al NajmaWWD

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 3.33/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
East RiffaWWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 2.33/1.00

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
Al NajmaEast Riffa
59.1Attack44.0
36.4Defence57.3
40.9Form44.0
46.8Power50.4
1.61xG1.55
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