Al Najmavs
Al Jabalain
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Division 1 · 9/1/2026, 5:40:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Najma · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Najma 1-1 Al Jabalain
Original prediction
Al Najma
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.9% | 40.6% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.1% | 28.8% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.12 | 29.1% | 30.5% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.12 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Al Najma
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Al Najma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20