Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Seeb · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Nahda 1-1 Al Seeb
Original prediction
Al Seeb
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.54 | 25.6% | 34.0% | 8.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.91 | 31.1% | 29.1% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.09 | 43.4% | 36.9% | -6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.91 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Al Seeb
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Al Seeb has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al-NahdaWWLLL
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Al SeebWWWDW
GF 16 · GA 2 · avg 3.20/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Al-NahdaAl Seeb
66.7Attack83.3
66.7Defence83.3
100.0Form100.0
83.3Power91.7
1.26xG1.19