Al Musannahvs
Ibri
COMPLETEDOman · FA Cup · 10/1/2026, 2:25:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Musannah · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Musannah 2-2 Ibri
Original prediction
Al Musannah
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 06:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 43.4% | 39.7% | -3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.6% | 28.8% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.02 | 30.0% | 31.5% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.41 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Al Musannah
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Al Musannah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00