Al Minaa Basravs
Naft Maysan
COMPLETEDIraq · Iraqi League · 9/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Minaa Basra · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Al Minaa Basra 1-0 Naft Maysan, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Minaa Basra 1-1 Naft Maysan
Original prediction
Al Minaa Basra
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 40.8% | 43.7% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 29.9% | 29.7% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.07 | 29.3% | 26.6% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.01 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Projected Score
Al Minaa Basra 1–0 Naft Maysan
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Al Minaa Basra
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Al Minaa Basra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40