Al Minaa Basravs
Naft
COMPLETEDIraq · Iraqi League · 9/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Al Minaa Basra 0-0 Naft, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Minaa Basra 0-3 Naft
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 40.5% | 33.5% | -7.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.93 | 31.0% | 30.9% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.19 | 28.5% | 35.6% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.1 pts
Projected Score
Al Minaa Basra 0–0 Naft
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.9%
Model confidence
35.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al Minaa BasraLWWDD
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
NaftDDDWW
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Al Minaa BasraNaft
33.3Attack32.5
48.2Defence61.4
36.8Form40.4
42.0Power46.9
0.82xG0.93