Al Minaa Basravs
Gharraf
COMPLETEDIraq · Iraqi League · 8/26/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Minaa Basra · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Minaa Basra 3-0 Gharraf
Original prediction
Al Minaa Basra
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 43.5% | 39.6% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.82 | 31.9% | 29.4% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 3.65 | 24.6% | 31.0% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.07 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Al Minaa Basra
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Al Minaa Basra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00