Al Minaa Basravs
Duhok
COMPLETEDIraq · Iraqi League · 9/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Duhok · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Minaa Basra 1-1 Duhok
Original prediction
Duhok
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.76 | 32.4% | 34.6% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.93 | 30.4% | 28.5% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.40 | 37.2% | 36.9% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.93 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Duhok
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Duhok has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al Minaa BasraLDLLW
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
DuhokLDWDD
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Al Minaa BasraDuhok
33.3Attack47.6
57.1Defence52.4
38.1Form38.1
44.2Power49.2
1.08xG1.11