Al Minaa Basravs
Al-Karma
COMPLETEDIraq · Iraqi League · 10/24/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Karma · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Al Minaa Basra 0-1 Al-Karma, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Minaa Basra 2-1 Al-Karma
Original prediction
Al-Karma
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.44 | 20.3% | 17.7% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.5% | 27.2% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 1.73 | 52.2% | 55.1% | 2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Projected Score
Al Minaa Basra 0–1 Al-Karma
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Al-Karma
Probability
55.1%
Model confidence
55.1%
Al-Karma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al Minaa BasraLWDLD
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Al-KarmaDWWWW
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Al Minaa BasraAl-Karma
33.3Attack56.7
60.0Defence76.7
40.0Form80.0
45.8Power73.5
0.47xG1.35