Al Mesaimeervs
Al Waab
COMPLETEDQatar · QSL Cup · 9/22/2026, 5:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Waab · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Mesaimeer 0-1 Al Waab
Original prediction
Al Waab
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 40.3% | 33.6% | -6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.3% | 24.7% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.79 | 32.4% | 41.8% | 9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Al Waab
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Al Waab has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al MesaimeerDLWWL
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Al WaabDWWLD
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Al MesaimeerAl Waab
57.6Attack55.6
39.4Defence58.3
39.4Form58.3
46.8Power58.8
1.49xG1.93