Al Merreikhvs
Horoya
COMPLETEDWorld · CAF Champions League · 10/24/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Merreikh · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Al Merreikh 0-0 Horoya, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Merreikh 1-0 Horoya
Original prediction
Al Merreikh
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 53.4% | 38.7% | -14.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.5% | 30.9% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 4.75 | 19.1% | 30.5% | 11.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.7 pts
Projected Score
Al Merreikh 0–0 Horoya
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Al Merreikh
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Al Merreikh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al MerreikhLDWWL
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
HoroyaWWLLD
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Al MerreikhHoroya
22.2Attack44.4
88.9Defence77.8
66.7Form66.7
62.6Power64.7
0.83xG0.84