Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
20%
HighconfidenceAL Masry are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Smouha SC are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and power ratings are near level at 53.8 against 54.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Premier League, favouring a draw with 19.8% confidence, a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
19.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AL MasryLWWDD
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Smouha SCLLLLL
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AL MasrySmouha SC
40.2Attack38.2
61.8Defence65.7
53.9Form52.9
53.8Power54.0
0.89xG0.80