AL Masryvs
Abu Qair Semad
COMPLETEDEgypt · Premier League · 10/19/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AL Masry · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: AL Masry 1-0 Abu Qair Semad, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
AL Masry 1-1 Abu Qair Semad
Original prediction
AL Masry
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 61.7% | 51.6% | -10.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.3% | 27.2% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 6.59 | 13.9% | 21.2% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.76 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.1 pts
Projected Score
AL Masry 1–0 Abu Qair Semad
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
AL Masry
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
AL Masry has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AL MasryDWLLL
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Abu Qair SemadLDLLL
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AL MasryAbu Qair Semad
33.3Attack11.1
55.6Defence44.4
38.9Form16.7
45.6Power28.3
1.27xG0.71