Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Kuwait · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Kuwait 3-1 Khalidiya
Original prediction
Al Kuwait
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 41.4% | 37.4% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.0% | 27.5% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.87 | 31.6% | 35.1% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Al Kuwait
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Al Kuwait has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al KuwaitWLWWD
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KhalidiyaDDDWW
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Al KuwaitKhalidiya
66.7Attack0.0
0.0Defence100.0
0.0Form33.3
23.7Power45.3
1.48xG1.49