Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Kuwait · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Al Kuwait 4-0 Al Jahra, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Kuwait 1-0 Al Jahra
Original prediction
Al Kuwait
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.12 | 81.7% | 77.4% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 7.50 | 12.2% | 12.9% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 15.00 | 6.1% | 9.7% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Projected Score
Al Kuwait 4–0 Al Jahra
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Al Kuwait
Probability
77.4%
Model confidence
77.4%
Al Kuwait has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al KuwaitWDDDW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Al JahraWLDWL
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Al KuwaitAl Jahra
85.7Attack38.9
75.0Defence25.0
82.1Form19.4
79.3Power29.7
4.50xG0.51