Al Kholoodvs
Al Shabab
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 9/9/2026, 3:55:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Kholood · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Kholood 2-1 Al Shabab
Original prediction
Al Kholood
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.77 | 33.2% | 51.6% | 18.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 27.0% | 23.4% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 39.7% | 25.0% | -14.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–010%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Al Kholood
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
Al Kholood has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80