Al Kholoodvs
Al-Qadisiyah FC
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 10/9/2026, 1:50:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Qadisiyah FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Kholood 0-5 Al-Qadisiyah FC
Original prediction
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.16 | 17.8% | 26.8% | 9.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.29 | 21.4% | 22.6% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 1.51 | 60.9% | 50.6% | -10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
50.6%
Al-Qadisiyah FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40