Al Kholoodvs
Al-Ettifaq
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 10/24/2026, 3:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Kholood · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Kholood 0-3 Al-Ettifaq
Original prediction
Al Kholood
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.56 | 35.8% | 37.3% | 1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.5% | 26.0% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.43 | 37.7% | 36.6% | -1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Al Kholood
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Al Kholood has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60