Al Kholoodvs
Al-Ahli Jeddah
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 8/29/2026, 4:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Ahli Jeddah · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Kholood 3-1 Al-Ahli Jeddah
Original prediction
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.47 | 12.4% | 27.6% | 15.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.66 | 19.8% | 25.0% | 5.2 pts |
| Away | 1.36 | 67.8% | 47.4% | -20.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Al-Ahli Jeddah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60