Al Kharaitiyatvs
Al Wakrah
COMPLETEDQatar · QSL Cup · 9/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Wakrah · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Kharaitiyat 1-1 Al Wakrah
Original prediction
Al Wakrah
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 18:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.32 | 27.2% | 31.6% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.0% | 28.1% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 1.97 | 45.8% | 40.4% | -5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.34 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Al Wakrah
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Al Wakrah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80