Al Khaleej Saihatvs
Al-Nassr
COMPLETEDSaudi-Arabia · Pro League · 9/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Nassr · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 0-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Khaleej Saihat 1-1 Al-Nassr
Original prediction
Al-Nassr
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.80 | 9.4% | 15.0% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 6.02 | 15.4% | 19.6% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 1.23 | 75.2% | 65.4% | -9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 5.02 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Al-Nassr
Probability
65.4%
Model confidence
65.4%
Al-Nassr has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20