GGOALVIO

Saudi-Arabia · Pro League · 8/28/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Hilal Saudi FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Al Khaleej Saihat 1-5 Al-Hilal Saudi FC

Original prediction

Al-Hilal Saudi FC

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home9.929.3%25.5%16.2 pts
Draw6.0615.2%24.5%9.3 pts
Away1.2275.5%50.0%-25.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-25.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.0–110%
  3. 3.1–29%

Predicted outcome

Al-Hilal Saudi FC

Probability

50.0%

Model confidence

50.0%

Al-Hilal Saudi FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al Khaleej SaihatDDDDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Al-Hilal Saudi FCWWDLW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Al Khaleej SaihatAl-Hilal Saudi FC
11.1Attack100.0
88.9Defence66.7
33.3Form100.0
48.3Power90.7
1.14xG1.50
View match centre →