Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Karkh · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Karkh 1-1 Mosul
Original prediction
Al Karkh
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Al Karkh
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Al Karkh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al KarkhDLWWL
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
MosulWLLLL
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Al KarkhMosul
43.3Attack33.3
40.0Defence50.0
26.7Form36.7
39.7Power41.9
1.38xG1.11