Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Erbil · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Karkh 0-1 Erbil
Original prediction
Erbil
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 07:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Erbil
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Erbil has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al KarkhL
GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00
BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
ErbilD
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 1/1O2.5 0/1
Al KarkhErbil
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24