Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Duhok · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Al Karkh 0-1 Duhok, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Karkh 3-2 Duhok
Original prediction
Duhok
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.42 | 26.2% | 28.1% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.6% | 30.0% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 1.98 | 45.2% | 41.9% | -3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.3 pts
Projected Score
Al Karkh 0–1 Duhok
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Duhok
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Duhok has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al KarkhLLDLL
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
DuhokDWDDD
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Al KarkhDuhok
22.2Attack44.4
44.4Defence61.1
5.6Form44.4
27.7Power53.4
0.77xG1.33