Al Karkhvs
Al Kahrabaa
COMPLETEDIraq · Iraqi League · 8/29/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Karkh · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Karkh 2-2 Al Kahrabaa
Original prediction
Al Karkh
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 40.1% | 38.7% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 30.0% | 28.9% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.06 | 29.9% | 32.3% | 2.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.05 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Al Karkh
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Al Karkh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al KarkhLL
GF 0 · GA 2 · avg 0.00/1.00
BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
Al KahrabaaDDLWW
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Al KarkhAl Kahrabaa
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24