Al Kahrabaavs
Gharraf
COMPLETEDIraq · Iraqi League · 9/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Kahrabaa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Al Kahrabaa 0-0 Gharraf, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Kahrabaa 0-0 Gharraf
Original prediction
Al Kahrabaa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 40.7% | 39.4% | -1.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.97 | 30.3% | 29.9% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.09 | 29.1% | 30.7% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.97 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.3 pts
Projected Score
Al Kahrabaa 0–0 Gharraf
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Al Kahrabaa
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Al Kahrabaa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al KahrabaaDDDLL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
GharrafLLWDL
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Al KahrabaaGharraf
41.2Attack35.1
55.3Defence62.3
36.0Form38.6
45.9Power46.9
0.99xG0.86