Al Kahrabaavs
Al Talaba
COMPLETEDIraq · Iraqi League · 10/16/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Al Kahrabaa 0-0 Al Talaba, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Kahrabaa 0-1 Al Talaba
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.68 | 33.7% | 30.9% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.96 | 30.4% | 32.8% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.52 | 35.8% | 36.3% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Projected Score
Al Kahrabaa 0–0 Al Talaba
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.8%
Model confidence
36.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al KahrabaaDLWLD
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Al TalabaDDLWD
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Al KahrabaaAl Talaba
22.2Attack37.0
63.0Defence59.3
29.6Form40.7
41.2Power48.6
0.67xG0.80