Al Kahrabaavs
Al Minaa Basra
COMPLETEDIraq · Iraqi League · 9/13/2026, 3:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Al Kahrabaa 0-0 Al Minaa Basra, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Kahrabaa 2-1 Al Minaa Basra
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 37.8% | 34.2% | -3.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.96 | 30.3% | 31.9% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.81 | 31.9% | 33.9% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Projected Score
Al Kahrabaa 0–0 Al Minaa Basra
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.9%
Model confidence
34.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al KahrabaaLDDDD
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Al Minaa BasraDLLWW
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Al KahrabaaAl Minaa Basra
22.2Attack33.3
61.1Defence61.1
22.2Form44.4
38.2Power47.5
0.81xG0.87