Al Kahrabaavs
Al-Karma
COMPLETEDIraq · Iraqi League · 8/26/2026, 3:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Karma · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Kahrabaa 1-1 Al-Karma
Original prediction
Al-Karma
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.02 | 17.9% | 33.2% | 15.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.2% | 28.0% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 1.61 | 55.8% | 38.8% | -17.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.43 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Al-Karma
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Al-Karma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al KahrabaaDLWWW
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Al-KarmaW
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Al KahrabaaAl-Karma
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24