Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al Jeel 0-0 Hajer
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.74 | 32.9% | 35.2% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 30.0% | 29.7% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 37.0% | 35.1% | -2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.00 · Draw 2.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
29.7%
Model confidence
35.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Al JeelLLDLL
GF 0 · GA 7 · avg 0.00/1.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
HajerLDDWL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Al JeelHajer
0.0Attack26.7
53.3Defence53.3
6.7Form33.3
24.0Power40.6
1.02xG0.98