GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 5/20/2024, 2:10:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Jazira · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Al-Jazira are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Emirates Club are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Jazira hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 32.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.6% in the Pro League, while Al-Jazira holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al-Jazira

Probability

70.6%

Model confidence

70.6%

Al-Jazira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al-JaziraLDWDD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Emirates ClubLWDDD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Al-JaziraEmirates Club
64.0Attack39.1
38.7Defence26.1
42.7Form24.6
49.2Power32.6
3.25xG1.27
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