GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 5/5/2024, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Jazira · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Al-Jazira are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Baniyas SC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Jazira hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.7% in the Pro League, while Al-Jazira holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al-Jazira

Probability

58.7%

Model confidence

58.7%

Al-Jazira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al-JaziraDDDLL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Baniyas SCWLLWL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Al-JaziraBaniyas SC
64.0Attack43.1
38.7Defence38.9
42.7Form33.3
49.2Power40.7
2.62xG1.44
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