Al-Jaziravs
Al Wahda FC
COMPLETEDUnited-Arab-Emirates · League Cup · 9/20/2026, 4:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Wahda FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Al-Jazira 1-0 Al Wahda FC
Original prediction
Al Wahda FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 47.9% | 29.8% | -18.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.7% | 23.1% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 3.51 | 25.5% | 47.0% | 21.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
21.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Al Wahda FC
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Al Wahda FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80