Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Jazira · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Al-Jazira are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Al Urooba are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Jazira hold a 23.6-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 25.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.6% in the Pro League, while Al-Jazira holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al-Jazira
Probability
80.6%
Model confidence
80.6%
Al-Jazira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40