Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Sahel · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Al Jazira are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Al Sahel are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Sahel hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (65.4 v 69.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the Division 1, while Al Sahel holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Sahel
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
14.3%
Al Sahel has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20