Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Jazira · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Al-Jazira are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Al Nasr are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Jazira hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Pro League, while Al-Jazira holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al-Jazira
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Al-Jazira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00