Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Jazira · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Al-Jazira are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Al Nasr are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Jazira hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Pro League, while Al-Jazira holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al-Jazira
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Al-Jazira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20