GGOALVIO

United-Arab-Emirates · Pro League · 4/23/2025, 1:55:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Jazira · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Al-Jazira are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Al-Ittihad Kalba are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Jazira hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Pro League, while Al-Jazira holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al-Jazira

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

45.6%

Al-Jazira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al-JaziraDLLWW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Al-Ittihad KalbaLLLDL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Al-JaziraAl-Ittihad Kalba
64.0Attack66.7
38.7Defence33.3
42.7Form33.3
49.2Power45.3
2.26xG1.79
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