Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Jazira · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Al-Jazira are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Al-Dhafra are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Jazira hold a 14.5-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 34.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.3% in the Pro League, while Al-Jazira holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al-Jazira
Probability
68.3%
Model confidence
68.3%
Al-Jazira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00