Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al-Jazira · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Al-Jazira are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (WLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Al Bataeh are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Jazira hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.3% in the Pro League, while Al-Jazira holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al-Jazira
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Al-Jazira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40