Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Ain · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Al-Jazira are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Al Ain are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Al Ain hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 64.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.4% in the Pro League, while Al Ain holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Ain
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
54.4%
Al Ain has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 6 · avg 3.40/1.20
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60